Who might win at the Defender Kentucky event…

EquiRatings gives Michael Jung and fischerChipmunk FRH a 26 percent chance of winning the 5-star at the Defender Kentucky Three-Day Event later this month. I would give him a far better chance; wise not to bet against a legend who has a raft of Olympic gold and world championship medals.

Cassie Sanger and Redfield Fyre are ranked as the most reliable 5-star cross-country combination. (Really?)

Meanwhile,  EquiRatings says Will Coleman’s rider Off the Record has the highest Elo rating of all the 4 star horses entered at the event but his Chin Tonic has a 45 percent chance of winning the 4-star-Short. An Elo rating takes into account not only where a horse finishes in a class, but who it beat, their rating and the level of the competition.

Feel free to do your own handicapping.